AstraFolio Quantitative Engine
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Macro OS Integration
🌐 Macro Intelligence Center v1.0
FRED macroeconomic indicators, the yield curve spread and a top-down macro view, for reading only: none of it is applied to orders.
Current Macro Regime
Risk-On (Bullish Macro) 🟢 Risk-On Index: 80.0%
Favorable liquidity and low credit stress support risk asset expansion (Equities, Crypto, Corporate Debt).
Yield Curve Spread (10Y - 2Y):
+0.34%
Top-Down View: commentary only, not applied to orders
Growth Score
76.5/100
Strong Economic Expansion
Inflation Pressure
67.3/100
Moderate (Near Fed Target)
Liquidity Index
81.3/100
Abundant Market Liquidity
Financial Stress
15.2/100
Ultra Low Stress (Calm)
🌤️ Macro Weather & Top-Down View
COMMENTARY · NOT APPLIED TO ORDERS
Informational only · 참고용, 주문에는 미반영.
Macro scores, the regime and the top-down view are commentary. They are not applied to orders, rebalancing, screening or hedges, with the two exceptions below.
Execution follows each portfolio's own rules: health scores, tolerance bands, cash reserve, and the hedge signal (SPY vs its 200-day average, VIX, drawdown from the peak).
Two rules use the weekly financial stress score (NFCI + STLFSI4), never the regime or the top-down view: the hedge signal's level 3 (deep stress, Hedge Lab),
and the opt-in Stress tilt of a Paper portfolio (Settings → Portfolio Settings), which keeps extra cash while stress is high.
- • Fed Funds Target Rate currently at 3.75% (Neutral Stance).
- • Yield Curve Spread (10Y - 2Y) is +0.34% (Normal Curve).
- • Core PCE YoY is 3.01% vs Headline CPI YoY at 3.72%.
- • Credit High Yield Spread is 3.21%, signaling contained default risk.
- • Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL) stands at $6.75T.
- • Top-Down Filter (macro view, not applied to orders · 주문에는 미반영): Growth stocks and crypto (BTC/ETH) and higher-beta exposure look favoured.
- • Bitcoin (BTC) trading at $80,224.07 (-3.9% 1M) — Liquidity Index (81.3%) supports crypto expansion.
Federal Funds Rate
FEDFUNDS
3.75 %
Updated: 2026-09-01
1M: +3.31%
1Y: -11.14%
Fed Balance Sheet (Total Assets)
WALCL
6.75 Trillion USD
Updated: 2026-10-01
1M: +0.13%
1Y: +2.46%
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
CPIAUCSL
336.3 Index (1982-84=100)
Updated: 2026-09-01
1M: +0.65%
1Y: +3.72%
Core PCE Price Index
PCEPILFE
130.46 Index (2017=100)
Updated: 2026-08-01
1M: +0.25%
1Y: +3.01%
Real Gross Domestic Product
GDPC1
24408.01 Billion USD
Updated: 2026-04-01
1M: +0.55%
1Y: +2.19%
Industrial Production Index
INDPRO
103.95 Index (2017=100)
Updated: 2026-09-01
1M: +0.66%
1Y: +2.25%
Advance Retail Sales
RSAFS
745021.0 Million USD
Updated: 2026-09-01
1M: +0.77%
1Y: +6.29%
Unemployment Rate
UNRATE
4.2 %
Updated: 2026-09-01
1M: +2.44%
1Y: -4.55%
Total Nonfarm Payrolls
PAYEMS
159044.0 Thousands
Updated: 2026-09-01
1M: +0.02%
1Y: +0.31%
10-Year Treasury Yield
GS10
4.99 %
Updated: 2026-09-01
1M: +6.62%
1Y: +21.12%
2-Year Treasury Yield
GS2
4.65 %
Updated: 2026-09-01
1M: +10.19%
1Y: +30.25%
High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread
BAMLH0A0HYM2
3.21 %
Updated: 2026-10-01
1M: +16.3%
1Y: +9.93%
M2 Money Supply
M2SL
23342.8 Billion USD
Updated: 2026-08-01
1M: +0.54%
1Y: +5.66%
Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index
NFCI
-0.5 Index
Updated: 2026-10-01
1M: +5.64%
1Y: +3.46%
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
STLFSI4
-0.61 Index
Updated: 2026-10-01
1M: +23.01%
1Y: -32.69%
Bitcoin Spot Price
BTC-USD
$80,224.07
Updated: 2026-10-26
1M: -3.92%
1Y: -29.97%
Ethereum Spot Price
ETH-USD
$2,324.19
Updated: 2026-10-26
1M: -13.56%
1Y: -44.11%